The commodity cocoa, refers to cocoa beans, which are the dried seeds from the, Theobroma Cacao, or cocoa tree. The tree is native to the Americas, specifically the Southern Hemisphere, and has been a major part of the area’s history, though now the vast majority of the trees exist in West Africa. In fact, cocoa beans were used as a common currency in many areas prior to the Spanish conquest. By the time the 17th century rolled around, the beans were in widespread use to make chocolate drinks, becoming one of the most popular beverages of the time. Now, cocoa is used all over the world to create chocolate, and other products such as cocoa butter. Many consume cocoa beans because of the health benefits associated with them, which are thought to have positive effects on cardiovascular health. As an investment, cocoa has become a popular commodity for investors looking to cash in on the sweet gains it can provide.
Physical Properties And Uses Of Cocoa
Cocoa trees require a warm climate to thrive, specifically within 20 degrees north or south of the equator. There are two different types of cocoa plants: Criollo and Forastero, with Criollo being the most sensitive to weather conditions, making it more difficult to grow and harvest properly. The cocoa trees take approximately five years to reach maturity, and each tree can produce roughly 2.2 pounds of cocoa. The cocoa beans themselves are about 3 cm thick with the center filled with a sweet pulp called mucilaginous. The seeds are typically white, though they turn a reddish brown color during the drying process [see also Commodity Investing: Physical vs. Futures].
The most visible use of cocoa beans is present in candies and beverages, most often chocolate. But, cocoa bean can also be used to make cocoa butter, which is used for many pharmaceutical drugs, as it makes for a nice substance to encapsulate various drugs. Cocoa beans are also present in cosmetics, including various kinds of makeup, lotions, and even soaps.
Cocoa Supply And Demand
Cocoa bean production is dominated by emerging and frontier markets, primarily countries in Africa. Cote d’Ivoire (The Ivory Coast), Indonesia, and Ghana are the top three producers worldwide, with the Ivory Coast nearly doubling the output of the second place Indonesia. Though Africa dominates cocoa production, holding roughly 70% of the market share collectively, Latin America also accounts for a substantial portion of output thanks to Brazil, Ecuador, and Colombia.
|Top Cocoa Bean Producers: 2008|
|Rank||Area||Production (Int $1000)|
|9||Papua New Guinea||37,584|
|Source: Food And Agriculture Organization Of The United Nations|
From a consumption standpoint, the country list is the polar opposite of the producing markets, featuring a who’s who of developed nations. The list of the top five global consumers are as follows: U.S., Germany, France, United Kingdom, and Russia. Because the consumers and producers are in vastly different areas and economies, cocoa beans can see dramatic price changes from numerous factors [see also Why Commodities Belong In Your Portfolio].
Cocoa Price Drivers
As a global commodity, the price of cocoa is impacted by a number of factors, and is often subject to significant price swings in a relatively short period of time. The major price drivers of cocoa include:
- Weather Conditions: Like most agricultural commodities, cocoa is subject to adverse weather conditions. Any unforeseen extreme weather pattern can set off supply issues sending cocoa prices soaring.
- Geopolitical Tensions: With the major cocoa-producing nations being emerging and frontier markets, the supply of this crop can be easily bottlenecked by the combustible political situations that often characterize these nations.
- Climate Shifts: While most plants are pollinated by bees or butterflies, the cocoa flower is pollinated by midges, small flies, or by hand. Any kind of global climate shifts could drastically throw off the natural pollination of this plant. Also, as previously mentioned, cocoa trees require very specific environmental conditions for healthy growth, and a subtle shift in an area’s climate could make a huge difference in the industry.
- Labor: Unfortunately, numerous cocoa plants are harvested by child labor. In fact, in 2005 it was estimated that over 200,000 children were working in substandard conditions in cocoa fields. Because this crop relies heavily on cheap labor, any changes or new regulations on how the crop is produced, and who does it, could have a major impact on its price.
Investing in Cocoa
The investment thesis behind cocoa, is that this global commodity can be used to hedge against inflation as well as numerous other factors. Because the majority of the world’s cocoa supply is dependent on international markets, a cocoa investment can be a play on political relationships on some of these volatile nations. Below we outline numerous ways to add cocoa exposure to your portfolio:
Cocoa futures are traded on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange under the symbol CJ, with prices quoted in U.S. Dollars and Cents per pound. A single contract represents 10 metric tons of cocoa with a minimum fluctuation of $1.00 per ton. Trading is conducted in the March, May, July, September, and December cycle for the next 23 months. All contracts are subject to the rules and regulations of NYMEX.
Trading terminates on the day immediately preceding the first notice day of the corresponding trading month of Cocoa futures at ICE Futures U.S.
There is currently one ETF that offers exposure to cocoa. The iPath Dow Jones-UBS Cocoa Total Return Sub-IndexSM ETN (NIB) tracks a is a single-commodity sub-index currently consisting of one futures contract on the commodity of cocoa.
- iPath Dow Jones-UBS Cocoa Total Return Sub-IndexSM ETN (NIB)
Another way to gain exposure to this commodity is to invest in countries which have high production levels. Below are several country and region ETFs that focus on major cocoa producers:
- Market Vectors Indonesia Index ETF (IDX)
- iShares MSCI Brazil Index Fund (EWZ)
- Global X/InterBolsa FTSE Colombia 20 ETF (GXG)
- Market Vectors – Africa Index ETF (AFK)
Resources On Cocoa Investing: