Gold has been steadily declining for the past year, as the precious metal looks like it will finally end its 12-year bull run. Part of its demise stemmed from equities rallying, causing a major increase in risk appetite and an asset class shift for many. Others stipulate that it is simply a natural correction preceding a run higher. Lately, however, gold has been feeling pressure from India as the emerging economy has been frustrating traders around the world [for more gold news and analysis subscribe to our free newsletter].
UPDATE: Including the 6/20 sell-off, Paulson’s GLD position has lost more than $800 million as GLD sank well below $125. It has been a rough couple of months for gold bugs. With the precious metal slowly declining in price since the start of 2013, April’s nose dive has driven many investors out of the commodity once considered a “safe haven.” Down nearly 17% this year and almost 30% from September 2011 highs, the best years of gold investing seem behind us. What was once thought of as a darling of the commodity space is now an asset that has destroyed a number of portfolios in recent years, and even fooled a few famous traders [for more commodity news and analysis subscribe to our free newsletter].
Legendary commodity investor Jim Rogers has never been shy about vocalizing his opinions about the investing world. In particular, Rogers has an affinity for commodities like ags and precious metals. Gold has been one of the most talked about hard assets of the last two years, as the metal soared to all-time highs, only to watch its price take a tumble in the months that followed. All along the way, Rogers had been calling for a correction for gold, and it is a sentiment that he still holds today [for more gold news and analysis subscribe to our free newsletter].
Jim Rogers has long been one of the most influential names in the commodity world and he’s never been shy about vocalizing his love of precious metals. Last fall, Rogers expressed his concern that gold was now overvalued and would suffer a falling out with investors. Fast forward to 2013 and it appears that Rogers was right, as gold lost over 18% this spring, sending investors scattering. In a recent interview with USA WatchDog, Rogers explains why he thinks this loss was natural and necessary for gold investors [for more gold news and analysis subscribe to our free newsletter].
Last week, we reported on Goldman Sachs (GS) slashing its outlook for gold and suggesting investors short the precious metal. In a letter to its clients, analysts at the company stated “We see risk to current prices as skewed to the downside as we move through 2013. In fact, should our expectation for lower gold prices continue to prove correct, the fall in prices could end up being faster and larger than our forecast.” But given Goldman’s history, it will be difficult for many to trust this sentiment [for more gold news and analysis subscribe to our free newsletter].
It was recently announced that the German central bank was set to repatriate some of its gold reserves based on economic fears plaguing the eurozone. Though Germany has long been the diamond in the rough of this currency bloc, the fear of a widespread crisis has still managed to infect one of Europe’s strongest economies. Currently, Germany holds about 31% of its gold (3,400 tons) within domestic borders; it plans to up that figure to 50% by 2020 [for more gold news and analysis subscribe to our free newsletter].
Gold has been one of the most talked about assets in the past few years, as it has surged to heights that some never thought possible. But now that the precious metal has logged 13 consecutive years of positive returns, many are beginning to doubt its abilities to continue the historic run. We recently had the opportunity to speak with Nick Barisheff about why he feels gold is still poised to make a run higher. Mr. Barisheff is the President and CEO of Bullion Management Group Inc., a bullion investment company that provides investors with a secure, cost-effective and transparent way to purchase and store physical bullion [for more gold news and analysis subscribe to our free newsletter].
Marc Faber, author of the famed “Gloom, Boom & Doom Report,” is a respected name in the investing world. If ever there was a perma-bear, it would be Faber. He tends to focus on areas of the world that he sees problems in and allow that information to influence his investing decisions. But no matter what segment Faber has an eye on, his focus always circles back to one asset: gold. The precious metal has long been an important part of his holdings, and he has not been shy about vocalizing his love for the commodity [for more gold news and analysis subscribe to our free newsletter].
Merk Funds is one of the biggest names in the currency space, and their products have amassed a fair amount of assets as well as attention from the investing world. But the firm has also begun moving into the gold space by laying out plans for a physical gold ETF (OUNZ). With this highly anticipated fund on tap, many investors have been keeping a close eye on Merk’s outlook on the precious metal, especially in light of the fiscal cliff and its impact on gold [for more gold news and analysis subscribe to our free newsletter].
Gold investors were dealt a muck hand last week as the Fed announced that they are eyeing an end to quantitative easing (QE) programs sometime in 2013. The precious metal has had an impressive run of 13 straight years of gains, but that may change this year. If the Fed were to abandon its QE policy and the massive money printing and dilution that goes along with that, gold prices could tank. The suggestion to end this program also points to a confidence in the economy from the Fed, another bad sign for gold as many have been using the commodity as a hedge against rocky markets [for more gold news and analysis subscribe to our free newsletter].