Contrarian Alert: GOLD Trade Offers Attractive Risk/Reward

Investors ran for cover last week after the bulls’ confidence was rattled by the Fed, which hinted at scaling back on their bond-repurchases earlier than many were anticipating. Profit-taking pressures hit equity markets overseas and at home as fading stimulus hopes prompted a sell-off ahead of the prolonged holiday weekend for Wall Street; nonetheless, investors appear to be back on the scene in a bargain buying mood as major U.S. indexes have managed to snap back and appear to be well on their way to resuming the uptrend at hand [for more commodity futures news and analysis subscribe to our free newsletter]. Gold prices and producers of the yellow metal remain severely depressed as momentum has failed to return to the precious metals market following the steep sell-off seen earlier in April. Contrarian investors should add Randgold Resources (GOLD) to their watchlist because this mining behemoth is resting on major historical support, … See the full story here

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Will a Euro Collapse Wreck Your Commodities Allocation?

It seems that the collapse of the euro, and possibly a global financial market correction, has become more likely than not in the next few year. It started with the fiscal disaster otherwise known as Greece, which has public debt equal to 166% of total GDP. But as time went on, Spain, Italy, Portugal, and Ireland all joined the race, with the latter four nations all faced with debts totaling to more than 100% of GDP (and let’s not even think about France’s 87% ratio of the same caliber) [see also Warning: Ignore Bill Gross’ Hard Money Prediction At Your Own Risk].

Posted in Actionable Ideas, Asset Allocation, Commodity Futures, News and Current Events | Tagged , , , , , | 8 Comments

Jim Rogers Says: Buy Commodities Now, Or You’ll Hate Yourself Later

“It’s coming again” warned commodity legend Jim Rogers earlier this week. When asked about the future of the U.S. economy Rogers had a pessimistic outlook, as he feels that the global financial landscape is simply too volatile to avoid another recession. And what’s more, Rogers thinks this next one will be worse than 2008. He cites the recessions in 2002 and 2008, stating that the 2008 recession was so much worse because of higher debts. Now, in 2012, debts are even higher, leading Rogers to believe that the coming recession will be even worse [for more commodity news and analysis subscribe to our free newsletter].

Posted in Agriculture, Commodity ETFs, Commodity Futures, Commodity Producers, Gold, News and Current Events, Precious Metals, Silver | Tagged , , | 57 Comments

As Facebook IPO’s, Would You Rather Own FB or Gold?

Facebook Inc. (FB) rose 13% for its debut at $42.99, after a half-hour delay that mesmerized traders everywhere and slowed down the loading times of major financial portal Web sites. Shares had been priced at $38 on Thursday May 17, and were supposed to debut at 11 a.m. Eastern Friday, but were delayed for a short time on the Nasdaq exchange. All of this buzz is certainly exciting, and it’s quite easy to get wrapped up in the hype. Remembering the Google IPO,  you ask yourself: is it time to scoop up a few FB shares, with the aim of making a quick buck?

Posted in Gold, Precious Metals | Tagged , , , | 1 Comment

Is Gold Still A Safe Haven?

Markets are nearing a critical moment in the year as earnings season draws to a close. After a strong first quarter, a number of blue chip firms are reporting strong earnings, keeping optimism levels high for the time being. But with euro debt problems arising in countries like Ireland, Spain, and Portugal, it seems like 2012 may repeat last year’s performance. After a strong beginning of the year, stocks were battered as the Greek debt crisis and a downgrade of U.S. debts wreaked havoc on trading. Those who were unfortunate enough to have equity-heavy portfolios were invariably slaughtered to close out the year, leaving frustration where there had been strong gains [see also Three Reasons Why Gold Is Overvalued].

Posted in Exclusive, Gold, Precious Metals | Tagged , , | 9 Comments

When in Doubt Go to Cash

Energy:I do not like the action in Crude so I advised clients to cut their shorts in half. Do not misinterpret me; I am not getting long but rather lightening up on short trades. Though I do not agree with the acceleration of commodities that we are seeing, I refuse to fight it. Hedgers should also start to wade into longs in heating oil and RBOB to protect from upside spikes. My suggestion is a long future against a sale of out of the money calls 1:1. High to low natural gas moved 30 cents. Tighten up stops just below the 18 day MA which should ensure at least a small profit unless we gap down tomorrow. My take is if we break that level we may get a chance to get one more buy below the $2 level…stay tuned.

Posted in Agriculture, Commodity Futures, Copper, Corn, Energy, Exclusive, Gold, Industrial Metals, Livestock, Natural Gas, Precious Metals, Silver, Soybeans, WTI | Tagged , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Forget Gold, Why Your Portfolio Needs Silver

For the past few years, the investing world has turned gold into its darling commodity, as its meteoric rise was well-documented and thrust into the forefront of major media and news sites. All the while, its sister metal silver received very little attention by comparison. Now, many see gold as a great portfolio diversifying agent, a sound inflation hedge, as well as a great place to grow initial capital. While gold may be poised for a bright future, silver may present an even greater opportunity that investors would do well not to ignore [see also 25 Ways To Invest In Silver].

Posted in Exclusive, Gold, Precious Metals, Silver | Tagged , , , | 6 Comments

Does GLD Really Hold Gold, Or is it a Scam?

The SPDR Gold Trust (GLD) is one of the most popular exchange traded products in the world, as it is home over $68 billion in assets and an average trading volume topping 16 million shares. This fund features a physically backed exposure to gold while charging fees of just 0.40%. The yellow commodity has been surging in popularity in recent years as the precious metal soared past $1,900/oz. while analysts and investors speculated about where the asset was headed. For many investors, GLD is their go-to investment vehicle for gold exposure and trading, as futures contracts can often be complex and dangerous [see also Why No Investor Should Own GLD].

Posted in Commodity ETF Analysis, Commodity ETFs, Exclusive, Gold, Precious Metals | Tagged , | 47 Comments

Natural Gas and Company In Steep Contango

Contango is simply an unavoidable phenomenon of the commodity market; at some point almost all commodities will fall into this pattern. For those unfamiliar with the term, contango simply refers to a scenario in which near month futures are cheaper than those expiring further into the future, creating an upward sloping curve for future prices over time. Traders and investors need to keep a close eye on futures curves, as they can have a drastic impact on positions while also presenting opportunities for lucrative trades. Now that the ETF industry has cracked commodity investing wide open, monitoring contango has become more important than ever [see also Understanding Contango Through Natural Gas Futures].

Posted in Agriculture, Energy, Exclusive, Gold, Natural Gas, Precious Metals, Soybeans, WTI | Tagged , , , | 5 Comments

Commodity Trading Trends: Precious Metals Lead The Way

As 2012 wears on, investors seem less and less sure how the year will end. Some feel that the early bull market we experienced is here to stay and that strong U.S. data only supports that claim. But others feel that such rapid appreciations in stock markets mean that we are about due for a pullback, potentially ending the year on a sour note. No matter which way you feel about the economy, there are always strategies to make a trading profit, and for the time being it looks like precious metals are it. These four metals have been steadily outperforming their commodity peers in recent trading sessions and are presenting a strong play [see also Three Reasons Why Gold Is Overvalued].

Posted in Commodity Trading Trends, Exclusive, Gold, Palladium, Platinum, Precious Metals, Silver | Tagged , | Leave a comment