How To Make A Play On Crude Oil’s Dip

Earlier in the year, it seemed like natural gas was the commodity with little to no hope, as the fossil fuel posted some impressive losing streaks. But it seems that crude oil is hellbent on taking NG’s place, as WTI futures have slid for six consecutive days, making it the longest losing streak for this commodity in nearly two years. But crude’s rather volatile behavior in the past six months can be attributed to a number of macroeconomic factors pushing and pulling the asset in either direction [see also 25 Ways To Invest In Crude Oil].

Posted in Commodity ETFs, Commodity Futures, Energy, Exclusive, WTI | Tagged , , | 5 Comments

When in Doubt Go to Cash

Energy:I do not like the action in Crude so I advised clients to cut their shorts in half. Do not misinterpret me; I am not getting long but rather lightening up on short trades. Though I do not agree with the acceleration of commodities that we are seeing, I refuse to fight it. Hedgers should also start to wade into longs in heating oil and RBOB to protect from upside spikes. My suggestion is a long future against a sale of out of the money calls 1:1. High to low natural gas moved 30 cents. Tighten up stops just below the 18 day MA which should ensure at least a small profit unless we gap down tomorrow. My take is if we break that level we may get a chance to get one more buy below the $2 level…stay tuned.

Posted in Agriculture, Commodity Futures, Copper, Corn, Energy, Exclusive, Gold, Industrial Metals, Livestock, Natural Gas, Precious Metals, Silver, Soybeans, WTI | Tagged , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Commodity Trading Trends: When To Stop Shorting Natural Gas

As natural gas has continued its massive decline, a number of investors (myself included) have hopped into short positions, allowing most to receive handsome profits in recent weeks. NG futures have been under a fair amount of pressure as this past winter was extremely mild curtailing demand for this commodity. Adding to that, new advancements in fracking have led to even greater supply, depressing prices to levels that none could have predicted. But while a short position in this commodity has yielded strong results, its outlook is beginning to turn sour, as a seasonal trend is threatening natural gas [see also Why You Should Invest In Natural Gas: The Fuel of the Future].

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Natural Gas ETPs Head-To-Head: GASZ vs. UNG

At this point, there isn’t anything new to say about natural gas. Its massive decline has been well documented and it seems that most of the investing world has temporarily lost hope that NG will recover anytime soon. While it is true that recent losses have been attributed to an unseasonably warm winter as well as growing supply, natural gas has been on a slippery slope since the recession began. But despite its losses, it is also widely agreed that this commodity will play an increasing role in out world’s future energy supply, as the fossil fuel is being utilized in a number of new mediums [see also 25 Ways To Invest In Natural Gas].

Posted in Commodity ETFs, Energy, Exclusive, Natural Gas | Tagged , , | 3 Comments

What Is Contango?

When it comes to commodity investing and trading, contango is a dirty word. Many investors have given contango a bad name (and rightfully so) as it has the ability to destroy value in an underlying position with the blink of an eye. Now that the ETF universe has rapidly expanded and there are a number of complex products offering exposure to the commodity world, contango has become more prevalent than ever. A number of investors have fallen prey to this phenomenon often without realizing what it was and how it impacted their holdings. Contango is simply a part of the commodity world and is not necessarily a bad thing, as it can create opportunities for profit [see also Understanding Contango: Natural Gas Example].

Posted in Academic Research, Commodity ETFs, Commodity Futures, Content Categories, Energy, Exclusive, Natural Gas, WTI | Tagged , | 33 Comments

Why You Should Invest In Natural Gas: The Fuel of the Future

As gas prices continue to maintain their high levels, consumers are growing tired of surrendering their hard-earned money at the pump. But a break in gasoline prices may not be on the horizon, as the U.S. already pays well below the average of a number of other developed countries around the globe. And if history is any indicator, gas prices will continue to rise until a figure like $9 per gallon is just the norm; it may sound far fetched, but it also doesn’t seem like that long ago that you could get a gallon of gas under $2. With crude oil only slated to get more expensive, it seems that many are turning towards natural gas to be the fuel of the future, as its production and use has been surging in recent years [see also 25 Ways To Invest In Natural Gas].

Posted in Energy, Exclusive, Natural Gas | Tagged | 10 Comments

The Best (and Worst) Performing Commodities From Q1

Now that the first quarter of 2012 is in the books, investors will reflect on their holdings to see if it is time to make any adjustments. While most equities turned in one of the best first quarters in recent memory, not all commodities were quite as lucky. As always, commodity price drivers often vary considerably from general equities, so it should not come as a surprise to see some of the more severe losses that some of these assets have posted. For those looking for the next cheap buy, or commodities that have been on a tear, we outline some of the best and worst performing futures from the first quarter of this year [see also 12 High-Yielding Commodities For 2012].

Posted in Agriculture, Brent Oil, Canola Oil, Energy, Exclusive, Gasoline, Platinum, Precious Metals, Soybeans | Tagged , , , , , , , | 6 Comments

Natural Gas and Company In Steep Contango

Contango is simply an unavoidable phenomenon of the commodity market; at some point almost all commodities will fall into this pattern. For those unfamiliar with the term, contango simply refers to a scenario in which near month futures are cheaper than those expiring further into the future, creating an upward sloping curve for future prices over time. Traders and investors need to keep a close eye on futures curves, as they can have a drastic impact on positions while also presenting opportunities for lucrative trades. Now that the ETF industry has cracked commodity investing wide open, monitoring contango has become more important than ever [see also Understanding Contango Through Natural Gas Futures].

Posted in Agriculture, Energy, Exclusive, Gold, Natural Gas, Precious Metals, Soybeans, WTI | Tagged , , , | 5 Comments

ETFs To Bet Against Natural Gas

Of all of the commodities that have experienced a fair amount of volatility as of late, none have fared worse than natural gas. This asset has been one of the more frustrating commodities over the past few years, as it has continually hit new lows while many called it undervalued, only to watch it lob off even more of its price. Already in 2012, NG futures have sank over 27%, and a quick glance at its historical performance reveals a nasty downward trend that has persisting starting with the 2008 recession. These massive losses have burned a number of investors who have sworn off this commodity after buying in at what seemed like lows, only to watch natural gas sink below $5, $4, and finally $3. In fact, NG currently has its sights set on losing grip of the $2 mark [see also 25 Ways To Invest In Natural Gas].

Posted in Commodity ETF Analysis, Commodity ETFs, Energy, Exclusive, Natural Gas | Tagged , | 4 Comments

Commodity Trading Trends: Natural Gas Futures Continue Their Slide

Natural gas continues to be one of the most frustrating commodities for 2012. After seeing prices hit new lows by the day, a number of investors speculated that its price could not possibly get any worse; they were wrong. NG futures are still struggling to establish a healthy trend as prices have dropped more than 17% on the year with over 8% of that coming in the trailing five day period. Low prices can be attributed mainly to this year’s winter, or lack thereof. The winter of 2011-2012 is on pace to be the mildest winter on record, as warmer than average temperatures have slashed demand for gas-powered utilities. This led to high stockpiles which, in turn, slaughtered prices to their current levels [see also 25 Ways To Invest In Natural Gas].

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