Anadarko’s Oil Find May Be A “Game Changer”

Last week, Texas-based independent oil and natural gas explorer Anadarko (APC) announced one of its largest oil discoveries in the Gulf of Mexico. Immediately following the press release, shares of the company, as well as the well’s co-owners ConocoPhillips (COP) and Marathon Oil Corp. (MRO), rallied, prompting many analysts to redraw their estimates for Anadarko. Many have noted that this discovery may very well be a “game changer” for the popular explorer [for more commodity news and analysis subscribe to our free newsletter].

A “Bottomless” Discovery

In its press release, Anadarko Sr. Vice President of Deepwater and International Oil PumpExploration stated that “The successful Shenandoah-2 well marks one of Anadarko’s largest oil discoveries in the Gulf of Mexico, with more than 1,000 net feet of oil pay and reservoir rock and fluid properties of much higher quality than previously encountered by industry in Lower Tertiary discoveries”. The company also noted that it did not encounter oil-water contact after drilling down 31,405 feet below the ocean floor, meaning that thus far the well is essentially “bottomless.” Analysts currently estimate that the field may produce 700 million barrels of oil, more than twice original projections

The find has the potential to be a “giant” project according to Anadarko, citing that additional wells will likely be drilled in the area to determine the extent of the resources in place [see How Big Oil Is Drilling For Cheap].

As such, investors and analysts alike were quick to respond to the news; analysts at UBS recently raised their price target on the stock to $105 from $102 and adjusted the estimated net asset value.

What to Watch

In addition to keeping a close eye on the well’s operator, investors should also pay close attention to the project’s co-owners. ConocoPhillips (COP) has a 30% working interest, Cobalt International Energy L.P (CIE) holds a 20% working interest, while Venari Resources LLC and Marathon Oil Company (MRO) each hold a 10% working interest [see USA Oil Reserves: The World's Largest?].

Click To Enlarge

Click To Enlarge

Currently, Anadarko’s stock is up nearly 10% year-to-date, with its P/E ratio and EPS coming in at 18.19 and 4.74, respectively (data as of March 20, 2013).

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Disclosure: No positions at time of writing.

About Daniela Pylypczak

Daniela Pylypczak-Wasylyszyn is a regular contributor to CommodityHQ.com, where she primarily focuses on commodity producers equities. She is also an analyst for ETFdb.com, where she contributes articles and analysis each week. Since joining the team in 2011, Daniela has quickly grown to be one of the most widely-followed authors in the industry. Her articles are syndicated in a number of online publications, including Financial Advisor Magazine, Fidelity.com, and Yahoo! Finance. Daniela is also a contributor for TraderHQ.com and Dividend.com. Daniela graduated from DePaul University with a bachelor’s degree in finance and economics.
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Commodity HQ is not an investment advisor, and any content published by Commodity HQ does not constitute individual investment advice. The opinions offered herein are not personalized recommendations to buy, sell or hold securities or investment assets. Read the full disclaimer here.

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