Q1 2014 Earnings on Tap: Potash, Miners, and Agribusinesses Report

The first quarter earnings season of 2014 is well on its way, with several bellwethers reporting both hits and misses. On the commodity producer front, Alcoa (AA) kicked off the season. AA reported revenues of $5.45 billion, below the expected $5.56 billion, and earnings of $0.09 per share, which managed to beat analyst estimates of $0.05. Agribusiness giant Monsanto (MON) managed to beat both EPS and revenue estimates, posting quarterly revenues of $5.83 billion and earnings of $3.15 per share [for more commodity news and analysis subscribe to our free newsletter].

Posted in Agriculture, Commodity Producers, Copper, Earnings, Energy, Industrial Metals | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

The Best and Worst Performing Commodities of Q1 2014

With the first quarter of 2014 on the books, investors are still digesting a slew of mixed economic reports, as well as looming uncertainty over the crisis in Ukraine. Equity markets have struggled to find a definitive direction so far this year – a vastly different environment from the record-breaking rallies seen at the end of last year. The commodities market also saw a fair amount of activity in Q1, as geopolitical tensions, severe weather, and global economic uncertainty (particularly in China) came into focus. Below, we outline some of the best and worst performing futures from the first quarter of this year [for more commodity news and analysis subscribe to our free newsletter]:

Posted in Agriculture, Brent Oil, Coffee, Copper, Energy, Heating Oil, Industrial Metals, Livestock, Lumber, Timber | Tagged , , | Leave a comment

March Backwardation Report: Energy Futures Downward Sloping

Backwardation is the process by which futures contracts decrease in price as they move further out in maturity. This can often be due to the expectation of future prices or trends in a certain hard asset, but it can also occur from supply boosts, among other things. Though it is not a phenomenon that should worry investors, keeping an eye on the futures curve can help you make more informed investment decisions [for more commodity news and analysis subscribe to our free newsletter].

Posted in Agriculture, Brent Oil, Cotton, Energy, Gasoline, WTI | Tagged , , , | 1 Comment

Why Coffee Futures are up 80% in 2014

After commodities had a rough go in 2013, taking the backseat to surging equities, it seems that this year has more favorable conditions in store for a number of hard assets. Though a number of commodities have gotten off to a white-hot start this year, none have even come close to the gains that coffee futures have notched, as that commodity has spiked more than 80% through the first 10 weeks of the year [for more commodity news and analysis subscribe to our free newsletter].

Posted in Agriculture, Coffee | Tagged , | 2 Comments

How Obama’s Budget Plan Will Affect Commodities

Earlier this week, President Obama unveiled his budget proposal for the year beginning Oct. 1. The proposed 2015 budget totals $3.9 trillion, including certain tax increases, as well as budget cuts and increases across nearly all departments. A closer look at the breakdown of Obama’s budget reveals several key factors commodity traders and investors should be aware of –  particularly for the energy and agriculture industries [for more commodity news and analysis subscribe to our free newsletter]

Posted in Agriculture, Alternative Energy, Asset Allocation, Energy | Leave a comment

The Next Big Industry: Farming Technology

On Wall Street, the agriculture business has long been a popular place for commodity trading. After all, it was with agricultural futures that commodity trading got its start, when farmers originally used futures contracts to offset losses in crop yields. Over the years, the agriculture space has rapidly developed, offering investors various options to cash in on the industry [for more agricultural news and analysis subscribe to our free newsletter].

Posted in Agriculture, Corn, Wheat | Tagged , | Leave a comment

February Contango Report: Precious Metals and Softs

Contango is the process by which near month futures are cheaper than those expiring further into the future, creating an upward sloping curve for future prices over time. It usually stems from the cost of storing commodities prior to their sale, though a futures curve can also reflect market expectations of where a commodity is heading. Though contango often comes handcuffed to negative connotations, it typically is not a problem for traders and investors who are aware of it [for more commodity news and analysis subscribe to our free newsletter].

Posted in Agriculture, Coffee, Corn, Gold, Palladium, Platinum, Precious Metals, Silver, Sugar | Tagged , , , , , , | 1 Comment

2 Commodity Stocks to Sell on the Next Pop: MOS, POT

Major U.S. equity indexes have managed to snap the losing streak that plagued markets since the New Year and February is off to a very green start. Upbeat corporate earnings have helped fuel the rebound on Wall Street while a relatively quiet political front has also helped to bring back certainty. Last month’s employment report was a mixed bag, and although investors reacted positively in light of  “oversold” conditions at the time, the next labor market data release will likely be scrutinized more heavily as investors look for clues surrounding the Fed’s next move [for more commodity futures news and analysis subscribe to our free newsletter].

Posted in Agriculture, Trading | Tagged , | Leave a comment

Brazil’s Dry Spell Affects Coffee and Sugar Prices

In the commodity space, Brazil is one of the major players in global agricultural production. Roughly 20% of the Brazilian workforce is engaged in agriculture, and more than a quarter of the country’s export earnings come from agricultural exports. Because of its dominance in the market, however, any shift in local crop conditions and climate can have significant impact on agricultural prices [for more agriculture news and analysis subscribe to our free newsletter].

Posted in Agriculture, Coffee, Sugar | Tagged , , , , , | 1 Comment

Commodity Earnings on Tap: Energy All Around (BP, CMI, MRO)

As we enter the latter part of earnings season, investors have already gotten a taste of how the final three months of 2013 fared for the Street. Thus far, it seems that there have been more earnings misses or disappointing guidance given than major wins or rosy outlooks. This week will keep energy firms in the spotlight with a few key European-based firms reporting, as well as one major agribusiness entity [for more commodity news and analysis subscribe to our free newsletter]:

Posted in Agriculture, Brent Oil, Commodity Producers, Energy, MLPs, Natural Gas, WTI | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment
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