Backwardation Report: A Mixed Bag

Last week, we gave investors our first contango report for 2014, noting that precious metals are facing upward curves for the foreseeable future. This week, we’re bringing you the first backwardation report of the year. For those unfamiliar with this term, backwardation is the process whereby near month futures are more expensive than those expiring further into the future, creating a downward sloping curve for future prices over time – put simply, it’s the opposite of contango [for more commodity news and analysis subscribe to our free newsletter].

Posted in Agriculture, Brent Oil, Commodity Futures, Copper, Energy, Industrial Metals, Soybeans, WTI | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment

2 Commodity Stocks to Sell on the Next Pop: KMI, LNCO

Much to the bears’ frustration, the stock market bulls came out on top in 2013 as clouds of uncertainty blanketed the world of commodities. Persistent fears over slowing growth in China continue to put a damper on demand for natural resources; however, the industrial metals finally appear to be reversing course after a string of encouraging regional manufacturing reports [for more commodity futures news and analysis subscribe to our free newsletter]. Amid the ongoing bull market at home, many remain hesitant to jump in long given the magnitude of the current run-up ahead of the potential budget drama that could arise and spark a correction well ahead of the February 7th debt-ceiling deadline. As such, below we highlight two commodity stocks that may offer an attractive short selling opportunity for those looking to bet against some of the stellar run-ups already seen across Wall Street.

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Berkshire’s Latest Acquisition: Another Big Oil Bet

Commonly referred to as the Oracle of Omaha, Warren Buffett is one of the world’s most famous investors, heralded for his simple yet effective valuation methods. So when the legendary investor makes a big bet, most are willing to follow in hopes of cashing in on Buffett’s guru-like instincts. Buffett’s latest bet involves a $1.4 billion arbitrage on Phillips 66 (PSX) [for more commodity futures news and analysis subscribe to our free newsletter].

Posted in Commodity Producers, Energy, WTI | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment

2 Commodity Stocks To Buy On The Dip: APA, HAL

Uncertainty may have been a central theme on Wall Street all year, but when all was said and done, it was undeniable that the bulls prevailed on the equity front. Bears, however, ripped through commodity markets across the board. With taper fears now in the history books and a federal budget deal on the table, it’s no wonder that many are anticipating for the stock market bull to continue its run higher into 2014 [for more commodity futures news and analysis subscribe to our free newsletter].

Posted in Energy, Industrial Metals, Trading | Tagged , | Leave a comment

Checking in on the Worst Commodities of 2012

2013 was undoubtedly a rough year for commodities, particularly for precious metals like gold and silver. There were, however, some bright spots in the space, including cocoa, soybean meal, orange juice, gasoline, and brent. For the coming year, analysts remain rather pessimistic on the broad commodity market. Goldman Sachs analysts have noted: “Last year, we pointed to the ongoing shift in our commodity views, ultimately towards downside price risk. The impact of supply responses to the period of extraordinary price pressure continues to flow through the system.” [For more commodity news and analysis subscribe to our free newsletter].

Posted in Agriculture, Coal, Coffee, Commodity Futures, Energy, Natural Gas, Sugar | Leave a comment

Checking in on the Best Commodities of 2012

While the bulls reigned supreme on Wall Street in 2013, bearish pressures kept a lid on commodity prices throughout the entire year as investor rotated out of safe havens and jumped into cyclical equities. Despite the improving economic outlook on the home front, as evidenced by the Federal Reserve’s efforts to start reducing stimulus, demand for natural resources remains lackluster. Worries over China’s slowdown and unfavorable supply conditions remain the key headwinds that will most likely continue to put downward pressures on commodity prices heading into the new year [for more commodity news and analysis subscribe to our free newsletter].

Posted in Commodity Futures, Corn, Gasoline, Lumber, Platinum, Soybeans | Leave a comment

Cold Weather Fuels Natural Gas

For energy traders, the winter months are some of the most active of the year as demand for commodities like natural gas often skyrockets. With weatherman forecasting this December to be the coldest since 1983, investors could be in for some lucrative plays in the natural gas market. Cold weather has already begun to sweep across the nation, with the Midwest and Northeast–two regions that rely heavily on gas for heating–already experiencing plummeting temperatures since before Thanksgiving [for more commodity news and analysis subscribe to our free newsletter].

Posted in Actionable Ideas, Asset Allocation, Commodity Futures, Energy, Natural Gas | Tagged , | Leave a comment

What Big Banks Are Saying About Commodities in 2014

As 2013 comes to a close, several analysts have already published their predictions for the coming year with most remaining cautiously optimistic about the global economy in 2014. So far this year, however, commodity markets have struggled to stay out of the red, with many analysts speculating that the epic commodity boom seen in recent years is finally over. Though on the equity side, commodity producers have benefited from this year’s bull run, with oil and gas companies in particular logging in double digit gains [for more commodity news and analysis subscribe to our free newsletter].

Posted in Actionable Ideas, Agriculture, Asset Allocation, Brent Oil, Commodity Futures, Commodity Trading Outlook, Commodity Trading Trends, Energy, Gasoline, Gold, Industrial Metals, Livestock, Natural Gas, Nickel, Precious Metals, WTI, Zinc | Leave a comment

The Top 5 Commodity Stocks of 2013

With 2013 drawing to a close, we’re taking a moment to reflect back on the biggest moves seen by commodity investors over the past year on Wall Street. Overall, it’s undeniable that the commodity market has been largely clouded with uncertainty this year as evidenced by the fact that the S&P GSCI Commodity Index has turned in a negative performance year-to-date compared to the S&P 500′s stellar gains topping 25% [for more commodity news and analysis subscribe to our free newsletter]. China’s slowdown coupled with persistently “easy” monetary policies from major central banks around the globe were the biggest factors in 2013 contributing to investors’ rotation out of the natural resources market and into the appreciating stock market.

Posted in Commodity Producers, Energy, Industrial Metals | Tagged , , , | 2 Comments

The Top 5 Commodities of 2013

As 2013 draws to an end, we take a moment to reflect on the happenings in the commodity world from this past year. All-in-all, it was a tough year for a number of hard assets, as the S&P GSCI Commodity Index struggled to find any momentum, losing approximately 2% for the year. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 has jumped more than 26%, as equities have dominated throughout the year.  While the story has been grim for some, there are a handful of commodities that have been able to turn in a solid performance in 2013 [for more commodity news and analysis subscribe to our free newsletter].

Posted in Agriculture, Brent Oil, Cocoa, Commodity Futures, Energy, Gasoline, Orange Juice | 3 Comments
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